Poll Thoughts

Now that the General Election season is in full swing, it’s time to look at some polls.  There are four new national polls out, from CBS News/NYT, NPR, FOX News, and Rasmussen.  Taken at face value, their results are as follows:   CBS News:  Obama 46%, Romney 47% http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-250_162-57475191/cbs-news-new-york-times-poll-7-18-12/?tag=contentMain;contentBody NPR:  Obama 47%, Romney 45% http://www.npr.org/news/polls/npr.pdf FOX News:  Obama 45%, Romney 41% http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2012/07/18/fox-news-poll-37-voters-say-are-better-off-than-four-years-ago/ Rasmussen: Obama 46%, Romney 47% http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll   The polls all show a close race within the margin of error.  But there’s an interesting point of methodology here.  Here are the political demographic weights of those polls:   CBS … Continue reading Poll Thoughts