I saw on Fox News just a little bit ago that Larry Sabato is saying from what he’s hearing McCain’s post convention bounce will be big. Gallup’s new daily tracking poll may be the start of this bounce:
The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update shows John McCain moving ahead of Barack Obama, 48% to 45%, when registered voters are asked for whom they would vote if the presidential election were held today.
There are three very significant things about this. One, this poll was taken from September 4-6, which means that one third of these numbers are pre-McCain convention speech. Two, this poll is of registered voters, not likely voters, which means it tends to skew more toward the Democrats. And three, this sample is really big and has a margin of error of +/- 2, which means McCain is polling outside the margin of error.
McCain’s post-convention bounce could be big, folks. Yes, it could be very big, indeed.
Update: Don Surber weighs in and writes this:
The 11-point swing by McCain is mainly due to Palin.
McCain made his first presidential decision — the first appointment to his Cabinet. And the public wholeheartedly agrees.
Obama’s pick of Democratic Sen. Joe Biden? Not so much.
Great point.
