In a sharp turnaround, Republican John McCain has opened a 5-point lead on Democrat Barack Obama in the U.S. presidential race and is seen as a stronger manager of the economy, according to a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Wednesday.
McCain leads Obama among likely U.S. voters by 46 percent to 41 percent, wiping out Obama’s solid 7-point advantage in July and taking his first lead in the monthly Reuters/Zogby poll.
The reversal follows a month of attacks by McCain, who has questioned Obama’s experience, criticized his opposition to most new offshore oil drilling and mocked his overseas trip.
All three of McCain’s tactics are completely reasonable, with the first of McCain’s criticisms being the most damaging. Obama is shockingly inexperienced to be the President of the United States and leader of the free world, and pointing this out is a necessity. Also, it’s important to note that this poll was taken Thursday through Saturday, so it doesn’t reflect Obama’s dismal performance and McCain’s brilliance in the Warren forum.
The Reuters/Zogby poll is consistent with the RealClearPolitics Electoral count, which puts McCain over Obama in Electoral College votes 274 to 264. Keep in mind that this includes the toss up states, but it’s excellent news, nonetheless.
Rasmussen also has some very good news for McCain. His polls show Ohio is still moving McCain’s way, and should he choose a VP from Ohio, which some are speculating he will since he’s announcing his pick in Ohio, his lead in the state should be even more solidified. I can’t stress enough how important Ohio is to McCain’s chances of winning in November.
Ohio, the ultimate swing state in Election 2004, continues to lean in John McCain’s direction, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in the state.
McCain attracts 45% of the vote in Ohio while Obama earns 41%. That’s little changed from a month ago when McCain led 46% to 40%.
When “leaners” are included in the totals, McCain leads Obama 48% to 43%.
Also, according to Rasumussen, McCain has the lead again in Florida:
John McCain has recaptured the lead over Barack Obama in Florida, besting his Democratic opponent 46% to 43% in the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in the state.
Counting “leaners,” McCain attracts 48% of the voter while Obama earns 46%. That advantage for McCain is well within the poll’s margin of sampling error.
This is all great news for McCain, who is really building some serious momentum, and with only 75 days left before the election, this is the time we need McCain to peak. We’re getting down to the last few weeks, meaning more and more voters who have been focusing on getting their kids back to school will be paying much closer attention to both candidates and their message.
With Obama’s inexperience, he will need to be especially impressive and will have to put a lot of details into his hopenchange message that he delivers with great vagueness. His performance on Saturday was a kick in the pants to Obama’s camp that they have a lot of work to do to convince American voters their candidate is in the same league as McCain. Honestly, I’m not sure they can do it.
Cross-posted at Up North Mommy Talks Politics