I just ran across this post in the American Spectator blog in which Robert Stacy McCain reports that Rasmussen’s newest poll puts McCain up by as much as 10 points in Ohio. I’m with Robert on this one: holy kamoley!
This is just one poll of course, but Rasmussen is a very accurate pollster. In fact, he was the most accurate pollster in the 2004 general election, predicting Bush would defeat Kerry 51% – 47%. Final numbers ended up Bush ended up beating Kerry 51% – 48%.
Even though I’m not doing too much of a happy dance right now, I am going to start looking to see if this is in fact a trend that other respectable pollsters begin to pick up.
Now, if this poll is in fact accurate, perhaps one reason for this could be Americans’ views on domestic drilling. According to Rasmussen’s internals, a vast majority of Americans want more domestic drilling to help reduce our dependence on foreign oil, which has been an issue McCain has been arguing for in his most recent campaign ads:
Sixty-four percent (64%) support offshore oil drilling while 22% are opposed. These figures are close to the national average. Fifty-four percent (54%) say reducing the price of gas and oil is more important than protecting the environment. Just 28% disagree and say protecting the environment is more important.
Robert Stacy McCain wonders if it is because of the Mark Dann scandal, which has put a bit of the hurt on Ohio Dems lately.