I have a feeling Romney is going to pull out a win (the gold that has thus far eluded him) in Michigan. My smart cuz, Scott Elliott, disagrees, but not by much. Check out all his predictions at Election Projection. Scott and John Hawkins have rounded up other predictions as well. I agree with Allah on this one:
The polls are open and time’s a-wastin’. If Romney can’t win on his home court then he can’t win anywhere, and I can’t believe he can’t win anywhere. Mitt in an upset, with a 50% chance of tears during the victory speech when he inevitably says something about Michigan having — oof — “brought home the gold.” Chance of tears from Hugh Hewitt? 100%.
Update: Early exit poll results (for what they are worth) from Jim Geraghty:
I’m hearing the first round of exit polls have Romney 35, McCain 29, Huckabee 15, Ron Paul 10, Giuliani 4. This doesn’t count absentee ballots.
If this holds, the networks will be able to announce shortly after 9 p.m. eastern time…
Of course, all the standard disclaimers apply, and the later voters may differ from the early rounds, and the polls are still open, so if you’re a Michigander, go out and vote for your favorite.
Update (9:15 pm): Romney is the winner with McCain second and Huckabee third. I guess it got called at 9 ET, but I am not sure because I have been watching American Idol. Just saw McCain start his speech only to be interrupted for Romney. Ouch.