2008 Presidential Race (New Jersey)

A new Quinnipiac Poll reveals some rather fascinating numbers on the Presidential race in a state that was a battleground in 2004 and will probably be again in 2008.

In New Jersey, which is considering moving its primary up to the beginning of the season, Rudy Giuliani is off to a strong start. He leads the GOP field with 39%. John McCain follows with 21%, Newt Gingrich with 11%, Mitt Romney with 5%, George Pataki with 2% (why he is still contemplating running if this is how he scores in the state neighboring the one he led for 12 years is beyond me), and Sam Brownback, Jim Gilmore, Chuck Hagel (D-NE), Mike Huckabee, and Duncan Hunter with 1% each.

The Democratic field also features a strong frontrunner. Hillary Clinton leads with 30%, followed by Barack Obama with 16%, Al Gore with 11%, John Edwards with 8%, Joe Biden with 6%, John Kerry with 6% (no wonder he decided not to run), Wesley Clark with 2%, Bill Richardson with 1%, and Christopher Dodd, Dennis Kucinich, and Tom Vilsack scoring the last recorded results of Joe Biden’s IQ test – 0.

In the general election match-up, Giuliani beats Clinton 48%-41%. McCain edges the New York Senator 44%-43%. Given the 2006 experience, I wouldn’t put too much faith into these numbers if Iraq continues to be a problem. If Bob Menendez can win, well, it raises the question of who couldn’t win as a Democrat in New Jersey. That said, it gives Republicans much-needed cause for optimism.

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