In a bit of irony, a blog titled “Think Progress” made a post where they didn’t. Earlier today on Wizbang, Alexander K. McClure posted a link to a map of all the murders in Philadelphia and made passing comparisons to Baghdad.
That’s when Think Progress stepped in
it with a “FACT CHECK” that wasn’t.
FACT CHECK: Baghdad Has 13 Times More Murders Than Philadelphia
The city McClure pointed to is Philadelphia. It had 337 homicides between Jan. 1 and Oct. 31, 2006.
In Baghdad, the Brookings Institution’s Iraq Index estimates that 5,320 people are … projected to be killed this year, meaning Baghdad had 13.2 times more murders than Philadelphia.
Like any good liberal, she’s really bad at math. She looks at raw numbers not murders per capita like we really measure murders.
Using her own numbers(2) and extrapolating out on a per capita basis, Philly has 2.68 murders per 10,000 people and Baghdad has 8.87 murders per 10,000 people. (calculations below)
So in a freaking war zone, the murder rate in Baghdad is only about triple that of Philadelphia.
Of course when we measure murders, we look at rates and not raw numbers. If you don’t, you can get goofy results. We could take the total murders in the United States vs the total murders in Iraq and the US would have far more murders… That’s why we do it per capita.
So the question remains… when do we pull out of Philadelphia?
Then in a another delicious bit of irony, “Think Progess” wraps up the post with this:
Rep. Steve King (R-IA) has also tried to claim that living in Washington, DC, is as dangerous as living in Iraq. Comparing the murder rate in any U.S. city with the situation in Baghdad only underscores how out-of-touch some conservatives are from the real situation on the ground in Iraq.
This is especially funny. Because in their first post they did their math wrong and claimed that the murders where 160 times higher in Baghdad than Philly. (and that number seemed credible to them) Then they revised it to a mere 13. When in reality the number is 3.
So the conclusion is obvious… Not understanding the murder rate in Iraq only underscores how out-of-touch some liberals are from the real situation on the ground in Iraq.
Now we see how progressives “think.”
Baghdad: 5,320 / 6,000,000 = 0.000886667 * 10,000 = 8.86667
Philly: 337 + (337 * (2/12)) = 393 / 1,463,281 = 0.000268575 * 10,000 = 2.68575
(1) The population of Baghdad is really not well determined. Googling around I saw figures from 5 million to almost 7 million. The controversial Lancet study (that the liberals all love) put it at 6.55 million. I used 6 million for my calculations.
(2) I didn’t double check her numbers… I probably should have.