Election predictions

OK, it’s only a couple of days until the elections, so I figure I better give my predictions on how it’s going to turn out. Everyone else is, it seems, so I might as well jump on the bandwagon.

First off, let me explain my methodology:

I have none.

I don’t care enough about electoral predictions to invest very much thought or analysis or investigation or research into the matter. So I ignore polls, surveys, trends, and the like. I just bounce numbers around inside my head until something just feels “right,” then stick with those figures.

It’s occasionally served me well. Back in August of 1988, I predicted the presidential election within one percentage point. I was way off on the electoral count, but that sort of thing requires a bit more homework than I ever felt like doing.

So, without naming any names or citing any particular races or discussing issues or polls, my gut hunch says the Democrats will make gains in both Houses — but insufficient to take either. I’ll say they’ll net two Senate seats and six House seats.

OK, I’ll discuss one race. Lieberman will trounce Lamont, sending the Nutroots elements into newly-discovered heights of hysteria.

If anyone else would like to make utterly unscientific, unsubstantiated, unfounded electoral predictions, have at ’em. If you are inclined to discuss specifics and issues and why candidate X HAS to win or Y simply has no chance, take it somewhere else. There are plenty of other fora out there for those kind of arguments — this posting is strictly for fun.

Saddam Verdict Update
Saddam verdict: Death by hanging

55 Comments

  1. Brian Clark November 5, 2006
  2. Lee November 6, 2006
  3. scotty November 6, 2006
  4. Jon November 6, 2006
  5. ilveskivi November 7, 2006