OK Folks- And you know who you are. The ones hitting every blog/message board on the net whining that American Idol is rigged. Stop for a second and use your brain. The results should not have been such a great surprise.
Allow me to quote myself (for the second time) from this year’s handicapping post… And I’m bolding part this time.
Winning AI is similar to winning a campaign, you have to get votes… that means appealing to a base. There is NO WAY that Bo Bice and Constantine Maroulis will be the final 2. [Of course not, they were from last year’s post. But I was right last year and it still applies. -ed] They are both 29 year old, hard rock, white males… They will bump each other… thems is the breaks.
I remind people of that because when good people go home, it will probably have as much to do with genre and demographics as talent. (In other words, no whining)
Let’s review a few things we all know. 1) At this stage of the game somebody good is going home. 2) It will be the person with the least votes. 3) Getting the most votes means appealing to the most people and getting them to vote multiple times.
And that is why Daughtry lost.
If you read my post, I said MONTHS ago that he would be highly commercially successful but that I doubted he would win. He only sang one type of song one way. That is a good thing for your musical career because you will have a loyal following and they will buy your records. But it is not what you need to win AI.
I’m starting to believe Taylor Hick will win. Why? Because he has a broad cross section of support – if not incredibly deep. THAT DOES NOT MEAN he is the best singer or that he will sell any records. It means more people will pick up the phone and vote for him.
If we only judged people on singing ability regardless of genre, that dark haired opera girl would still be around. But she didn’t make it to the final 24 because she sang opera. You Daughtry fans might relate.
BTW- If you’re one of the people still stinging from last night’s news, you might read this piece over at Wizbang Pop where my piece would be posted if my username wasn’t wonky.