Wherein HBO boxing announcer and Huffington Post newbie blogger, Jim Lampley, explains how they fixed Saturday’s Kentucky Derby right under your noses.
- At 5:00 p.m. Eastern time on Derby Day (Saturday), I checked the sportsbook odds in Las Vegas and via the offshore bookmakers to see the odds as of that moment on the the Kentucky Derby, 45 minutes before post time. Bellamy Road was a five-to-two favorite. You can look it up.
People who have lived in the sports world as I have, bettors in particular, have a feel for what I am about to say about this: these people are extremely scientific in their assessments. These people understand which information to trust and which indicators to consult in determining where to place a dividing line to influence bets, and they are not in the business of being completely wrong. Oddsmakers consulted racing form data and thoroughly examined the prior times of every horse in this years Kentucky Derby. Bellamy Road was the choice of oddmakers across the board, especially in light of his 30 length victory margin in the last race before the run at Churchill Downs. Oddsmakers acknowledged in their oddsmaking at that moment that Bellamy Road would win the Kentucky Derby.
And he most certainly would have, at least if the race had been fairly and legally run. What happened instead was the biggest crime in the history of the horseracing, and the collective media silence which has followed is the greatest fourth-estate failure ever on our soil.
Many of the participants in this blog have graduate school educations. It is damned near impossible to go to graduate school in any but the most artistic disciplines without having to learn about the basics of social research and its uncanny accuracy and validity. We know that triple crown events simply do not produce 50-1 longshot winners “out of nowhere,” without some elaborate Rovian conspiracy to cheat and defraud the betting public. Because Giacomo was the biggest longshot to win the Derby since 1913 and the runner-up, Closing Argument (72-1), was even longer odds the trifecta payouts was $133,134.80 for a $2 bet. That kind of payout attracts those who like their games of chance with big payouts and low risk. Of course today we learn that Bellamy Road has dropped out of the Preakness Stakes and the Belmont Stakes, due to an alleged foot injury. Coincidence? Of course not.
George Steinbrenner isn’t capable of conceiving and executing such a grandiose crime? Wake up. They did it. The silence of traditional media on this subject is enough to establish their newfound bankruptcy. The revolution will have to start here. I challenge every other thinker at the Huffington Post: is there any greater imperative than to reverse this crime and reestablish the opportunity for a legitimate contender for the Triple Crown? Why the mass silence? Let’s go to work with the circumstantial evidence, begin to narrow from the outside in, and find some witnesses who will turn. That’s why Affirmed beat Alydar. This is bigger, and I never dreamed I would say that in my baby boomer lifetime.It helps to have read Lampley blogging debut, The Biggest Story Of Our Lives – [THP], first.
Update: Check the “Filled Under” tag below…
Update 2: Unbeknownst to me, Byron York writes a similar piece on THP, to which the new king of the tinfoil brigade responds. York then makes the shocking leap into the world of facts to beat Mr. Tinfoil After Dark senseless.
Expect to hear more about Blackbox nutjob Bev Harris and gadfly programmer Clint Curtis from Lampley in upcoming columns. In regards to reporting ability, Lampley makes his old buddy Keith Olbermann look positively “fair and balanced” in comparison. Given Olbermann’s breathless coverage of the Conyer investigation in Ohio, that’s no mean feet to pull off…