Wizbang Electoral Vote Prediction

Wizbang 2004 Electoral Vote Prediction

I’ve been back and forth on Ohio, so I wouldn’t be completely shocked if the final EV total was 271-267. There’s a bunch of states the used to be solid Kerry that are now tossups, but I’ve assumed Kerry captures those states.

Les Jones is gathering bloggers predictions, and provides links to map generators at the LA Times and Wall Street Journal.

Note: I offered what I thought was a unique blog based wager with Duncan Black (aka Atrios) of Eschaton. The gist of the bet is that since both sites display Site Meter vistor stats prominently at the bottom of the page we would wager those stats against each others election prediction. Wizbang will get it’s 5 millionth visitor within the next week and Eschaton is at 37 million. It’s a simple bet – I predict a Bush victory, he predicts a Kerry victory. The loser of the bet would set their stats back to 0. The counter reset is temporary (I proposed from election day through inaguration day) and is accomplished by adding a negative number to the Site Meter start count adjustment field equal to the current number of visitors. In my case I would add negative 5 million visitors to the start count adjustment field on my Site Meter which would set the visitor count to zero. Done this way there is no loss of site statistics, as the change can be undone at any time. I never got a response, but the offer is still on the table…

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13 Comments

  1. -S- November 1, 2004
  2. Lastango November 1, 2004
  3. Jay Tea November 1, 2004
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  12. -S- November 1, 2004
  13. LargeBill November 1, 2004