Massachusetts Senate Race Open Thread: Brown versus Coakley (Wizbang)

Here's an open thread for anyone who wants to do a happy dance or two or scream in frustration. Here are the preliminary numbers from Rasmussen who did a bit of exit polling:

Among those who decided how they would vote in the past few days, Coakley has a slight edge, 47% to 41%.

Coakley also has a big advantage among those who made up their mind more than a month ago.

Seventy-six percent (76%) of voters for Brown said they were voting for him rather than against Coakley.

Sixty-six percent (66%) of Coakley voters said they were voting for her rather than against Brown.

22% of Democrats voted for Brown. That is generally consistent with pre-election polling.

Discuss.

Update: Geraghty at Campaign Spot:

Obama Towns Are Flipping To Scott Brown. Early Night, Folks. In 2008, Ashland, Massachusetts went for Obama over McCain, 5,039 votes to 3,181.
Tonight Brown won Ashland 54 percent to 45 percent - 3,467 for Brown while Coakley carried 2,897.

You can call it, folks.

Howie Carr on O'Reilly says turnout in suburbs was twice that in the cities and is a "total fiasco" for the Democrats.

Update II: It's 8:55pm and this is what Drudge says:

RESULTS:
SCOTT BROWN (R) 52%
MARTHA COAKLEY (D) 47%

Rasmussen: 22% of Dems voted for Brown; Voters who decided in past few days favored Coakley...
LARGE: Reports of 50% turnout...

Mass. secretary of state dismissed vote problems...

R: 0,441,124
D: 0,392,078

Update III: Dave Wasserman from Cook Report via Twitter:

Cook Report does NOT officially call races, but if I were working for a network I would have enough #s to project: Brown Wins

I'm trying to stay calm.

Also from Wasserman:

Kennedyland is IN: Barnstable, MA (including Hyannis Port) gave Brown 61%, he needed 59% there

Update IV: Sean Hannity reports that Martha Coakley has conceded! Carl Cameron reports live that Coakley has conceded.

Say hello to Senator-elect Scott Brown.

We are witnessing history. I can't believe it. A second American revolution just took place. Thank you, Massachusetts. It really is a Massachusetts Miracle.

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Comments (60)

Brown by between 2-3. The ... (Below threshold)

1. Posted by retired military | January 19, 2010 8:27 PM | Score: 2 (2 votes cast)

retired military:

Brown by between 2-3. The dems will realize they cant pull that many fake votes out of their ass to win. They will pass healthcare with 51 votes and change the rules of the Senate to make the filibuster level at 45 instead of 41.

Posted on January 19, 2010 20:27

Rasmussen has been polling ... (Below threshold)

2. Posted by GarandFan | January 19, 2010 8:29 PM | Score: 1 (3 votes cast)

GarandFan:

Rasmussen has been polling Coakley ahead all along. Only thing he's LOWERED is the spread.

Posted on January 19, 2010 20:29

8:35pm, first results show ... (Below threshold)

3. Posted by GarandFan | January 19, 2010 8:38 PM | Score: 2 (2 votes cast)

8:35pm, first results show Brown up by 5.

Posted on January 19, 2010 20:38

Choakly behind by 20,000 ea... (Below threshold)

4. Posted by 914 | January 19, 2010 8:42 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)

914:

Choakly behind by 20,000 early.. Better start poppin dem trunks.

Posted on January 19, 2010 20:42

25% of the vote counted. B... (Below threshold)

5. Posted by retired military | January 19, 2010 8:46 PM | Score: 2 (2 votes cast)

25% of the vote counted. Brown 52 Coakley 47. I umm dont see Steve Green around here anywhere.

Posted on January 19, 2010 20:46

Stevie's too busy crying in... (Below threshold)

6. Posted by GarandFan | January 19, 2010 8:48 PM | Score: 3 (3 votes cast)

Stevie's too busy crying in his beer.

Posted on January 19, 2010 20:48

For the first time in my ad... (Below threshold)

7. Posted by P. Bunyan | January 19, 2010 8:52 PM | Score: 4 (4 votes cast)

P. Bunyan:

For the first time in my adult life I am proud of the Massachucetts voters.

Posted on January 19, 2010 20:52

39% of vote Brown 52 coakle... (Below threshold)

8. Posted by retired military | January 19, 2010 8:53 PM | Score: 2 (2 votes cast)

39% of vote Brown 52 coakley 47 still.

It is getting kind of deep unless they have like 500,000 absentee ballots with 90% of those for coakley.

Posted on January 19, 2010 20:53

It's unlikely for a Democra... (Below threshold)

9. Posted by Paul Hooson | January 19, 2010 8:53 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)

Paul Hooson:

It's unlikely for a Democrat to win if 22% of Democratic voters vote Republican. That figure alone suggests a Brown win.

Ongoing counts found here</... (Below threshold)

10. Posted by retired military | January 19, 2010 8:57 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)

Ongoing counts found here

http://www.myfoxboston.com/

right hand side

also here

http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/

Under the pictures

Posted on January 19, 2010 20:57

50% of votes in - Brown 53/... (Below threshold)

11. Posted by GarandFan | January 19, 2010 9:02 PM | Score: 5 (7 votes cast)

50% of votes in - Brown 53/Coakley 47.

Read 'em and weep Stevie, SAUD, Vic, bryanD. Obama just became a lame-duck in his first year.

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:02

Apropos of #11's comment...... (Below threshold)

12. Posted by NJ Mike | January 19, 2010 9:05 PM | Score: 5 (5 votes cast)

NJ Mike:

Apropos of #11's comment.......Finally!! the "historic" label can be properly placed upon the Uhhhhhbama admin......

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:05

Not enough dead people voti... (Below threshold)

13. Posted by Tsar Nicholas II | January 19, 2010 9:09 PM | Score: 2 (2 votes cast)

Tsar Nicholas II:

Not enough dead people voting in multiple precincts for Coakley. Brown wins easily.

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:09

Do you still hold the same ... (Below threshold)

14. Posted by 914 | January 19, 2010 9:10 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)

Do you still hold the same amount of reverance for the lame duc One Steve?

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:10

Brown , Scott GOP 694,89... (Below threshold)

15. Posted by JLawson | January 19, 2010 9:11 PM | Score: 4 (4 votes cast)

JLawson:

Brown , Scott GOP 694,897 53%
Coakley , Martha Dem 607,073 46%
Kennedy , Joseph Oth 13,079 1%

9:05 PM, almost 90k down. Wait and see - but it looks like the spin's going to have to be that Coakley was just a HORRIBLE candidate, and this election doesn't mean a damn thing!

But you can spin it all you want, the people have spoken and they're not buying the Dem bullshit any more.

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:11

65% in Brown 53 Coakely 46.... (Below threshold)

16. Posted by Stan25 | January 19, 2010 9:12 PM | Score: 2 (2 votes cast)

Stan25:

65% in Brown 53 Coakely 46. Coakely is toast

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:12

Trouble logging onto Drudge... (Below threshold)

17. Posted by Michael Laprarie | January 19, 2010 9:12 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)

Michael Laprarie:

Trouble logging onto Drudge right now.

Drudge just came up, then refreshed ... Brown 53%, Coakley 46%.

65% of vote in (about 1.3 m... (Below threshold)

18. Posted by retired military | January 19, 2010 9:13 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)

65% of vote in (about 1.3 million counted.) Brown ahead by about 90K.

That means about 2 miillion total votes will be cast and out of the last 700k Coakley has to get 400k vs Brown 300k just to tie.

Not impossible but not very probable either.

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:13

Howie Carr called it 1/2 wa... (Below threshold)

19. Posted by Stan25 | January 19, 2010 9:13 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)

Howie Carr called it 1/2 way through O'Reilly for Brown

It is starting to look like... (Below threshold)

20. Posted by Jeff Blogworthy | January 19, 2010 9:13 PM | Score: 2 (2 votes cast)

Jeff Blogworthy:

It is starting to look like a sure win for Brown. This is epic. Thank you God.

96.9 FM in Boston called th... (Below threshold)

21. Posted by jim m | January 19, 2010 9:13 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)

jim m:

96.9 FM in Boston called the election at 6:45 for Brown based on the Coakley campaign blaming Obama for their loss. They wouldn't be playing the blame game if they thought they were going to win.

I wonder how many of the Bo... (Below threshold)

22. Posted by kevino | January 19, 2010 9:14 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)

kevino:

I wonder how many of the Boston, Springfield, Lawrence, and Lowell counts have been turned in. That 7% lead looks pretty big. Is it time for them to call it a day and go home, or are they going to keep inventing votes?

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:14

Teddy just rolled over in H... (Below threshold)

23. Posted by 914 | January 19, 2010 9:15 PM | Score: 2 (2 votes cast)

Teddy just rolled over in His car.

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:15

With over half of Boston co... (Below threshold)

24. Posted by jim m | January 19, 2010 9:16 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)

With over half of Boston counted Coakley will only be able to pick up about 23,000 votes here in the biggest dem stronghold of the state.

He's up 90,000 votes. She can't catch him.

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:16

Boston 135 of 254 precincts... (Below threshold)

25. Posted by jim m | January 19, 2010 9:20 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)

Boston 135 of 254 precincts counted

Caokley 47,475...... 66%
Brown 24,152....... 33%
Kennedy 728.......... 1%

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:20

Fox News has just called th... (Below threshold)

26. Posted by Stan25 | January 19, 2010 9:21 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)

Fox News has just called the election for Scott Brown.

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:21

AP just called for Brown.</... (Below threshold)

27. Posted by JLawson | January 19, 2010 9:22 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)

AP just called for Brown.

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:22

Coakley concedes!!!!!!!!!!!... (Below threshold)

28. Posted by jim m | January 19, 2010 9:22 PM | Score: 2 (2 votes cast)

Coakley concedes!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

The Lutz focus group is ham... (Below threshold)

29. Posted by Jeff Blogworthy | January 19, 2010 9:22 PM | Score: 2 (2 votes cast)

The Lutz focus group is hammering health care. There is no doubt that ObamaCare is what this is about. Even the Dems are mad that the WH is shoving this through.

Just called for Brown - Coakley has conceded!

Martha Coakley is getting r... (Below threshold)

30. Posted by Stan25 | January 19, 2010 9:23 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)

Martha Coakley is getting ready to make her concession speech

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:23

I hate to be a wet blanket,... (Below threshold)

31. Posted by Arizona CJ | January 19, 2010 9:23 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)

Arizona CJ:

I hate to be a wet blanket, but I've always believed that if something sounds too good to be true, it probably is. A Republican taking Teddy's seat? That qualifies. Yes, I've seen the polls.

I'm worried that all the buzz has clouded the real message; that even if it's close, it's huge.

I hope Brown wins, that would be beyond awesome, I just don't want to get my hopes up, so I'm holding off celebrating until it's certain.

However, pessimist that I am, even I'll say this much; based on current totals, I see no way Coakly is going to pull off the decisive win that would allow Dems to dismiss reports of voter anger.

I'll be watching the returns closely, and wishing Brown all the best. Win or lose, he's pulled off a miracle already.

Majority of Focus Group aga... (Below threshold)

32. Posted by GarandFan | January 19, 2010 9:24 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)

Majority of Focus Group against WH and Congress pushing thru Health Care without Brown having a vote. Only 3 (Coakley supporters) want Barry and Congress to go ahead and vote.

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:24

Congratulations to the newe... (Below threshold)

33. Posted by mpw280 | January 19, 2010 9:25 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)

mpw280:

Congratulations to the newest Senator from Massachusetts. Senator Brown you ran one great campaign. mpw

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:25

CNN calls it with tears in ... (Below threshold)

34. Posted by 914 | January 19, 2010 9:25 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)

CNN calls it with tears in their eyes...ha ha ha ha ha ha ha

RUMMMMMMMMMMMMMBLLLLLLEEEEE... (Below threshold)

35. Posted by GarandFan | January 19, 2010 9:26 PM | Score: 2 (2 votes cast)

RUMMMMMMMMMMMMMBLLLLLLEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!!!!!!!!!!!!!

That was Splash Kennedy rolling over in his grave.

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:26

Okay, regarding my above po... (Below threshold)

36. Posted by Arizona CJ | January 19, 2010 9:26 PM | Score: 3 (3 votes cast)

Okay, regarding my above post; the first thing I see after posting it is Coakly just CONCEDED!

That makes even a pessimist like me cautiously optimistic. LoL

Awesome!!!!!!! (and I am delighted that my pessimisim was wrong!)

Barry is officially a lame-... (Below threshold)

37. Posted by GarandFan | January 19, 2010 9:28 PM | Score: 3 (3 votes cast)

Barry is officially a lame-duck.

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:28

Where is Steve green.... (Below threshold)

38. Posted by retired military | January 19, 2010 9:28 PM | Score: 3 (3 votes cast)

Where is Steve green.

I cant stand Juan Williams on Fox

Rasmussen should retire. H... (Below threshold)

39. Posted by GarandFan | January 19, 2010 9:29 PM | Score: 3 (3 votes cast)

Rasmussen should retire. He had it Coakley by 7.

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:29

This is the best thing Tedd... (Below threshold)

40. Posted by 914 | January 19, 2010 9:29 PM | Score: 4 (4 votes cast)

This is the best thing Teddy ever accomplished.

This is a good day. A very ... (Below threshold)

41. Posted by WildWillie | January 19, 2010 9:30 PM | Score: 4 (4 votes cast)

WildWillie:

This is a good day. A very good day. ww

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:30

The trolls are crying in th... (Below threshold)

42. Posted by Stan25 | January 19, 2010 9:30 PM | Score: 2 (4 votes cast)

The trolls are crying in their Kool-Aid

The sweet irony. "Pass it ... (Below threshold)

43. Posted by GarandFan | January 19, 2010 9:31 PM | Score: 5 (5 votes cast)

The sweet irony. "Pass it for Teddy" is going to be stopped BY TEDDY'S OWN SEAT!

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:31

SAUD, VIC, Stevie, jp2, bry... (Below threshold)

44. Posted by GarandFan | January 19, 2010 9:32 PM | Score: 5 (5 votes cast)

SAUD, VIC, Stevie, jp2, bryanD! Come join us in a "bipartisan" celebration!

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:32

Dear American mass media,</... (Below threshold)

45. Posted by Falze | January 19, 2010 9:33 PM | Score: 3 (3 votes cast)

Falze:

Dear American mass media,

The residents of a state that already has Obamacare just voted to kill nationwide Obamacare. Seems to me there might be story there somewhere.

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:33

I hope there's an anti-suic... (Below threshold)

46. Posted by GarandFan | January 19, 2010 9:35 PM | Score: 2 (2 votes cast)

I hope there's an anti-suicide watch on Congressional Democrats tonight. Barry, I'm not worried about. Failures are ALWAYS the fault of others.

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:35

Anyone seen Chrissy Matthew... (Below threshold)

47. Posted by GarandFan | January 19, 2010 9:36 PM | Score: 2 (2 votes cast)

Anyone seen Chrissy Matthews or Olbermann?

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:36

CNN- "The democra... (Below threshold)

48. Posted by 914 | January 19, 2010 9:37 PM | Score: 4 (4 votes cast)

CNN-

"The democrat could not tap into voter anger??"

Thats because the Dems are responsible for the voter anger You dumbfuc's

Goodbye Obamacare and enjoy your well earned lame brain status..

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:37

Looks like the slip and fal... (Below threshold)

49. Posted by Stan25 | January 19, 2010 9:38 PM | Score: 2 (2 votes cast)

Looks like the slip and fall lawyers are going to have to pack up and go away. No paycheck this time.

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:38

They said Brown had to win ... (Below threshold)

50. Posted by jim m | January 19, 2010 9:43 PM | Score: 2 (4 votes cast)

They said Brown had to win by 4.8% or more to prevent the dems from stealing it in recounts. He got 5%. Just enough.

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:43

JOHN FUCKING KERRY IS NEXT!... (Below threshold)

51. Posted by GarandFan | January 19, 2010 9:45 PM | Score: 3 (3 votes cast)

JOHN FUCKING KERRY IS NEXT!

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:45

Speaking of Lurch, he just ... (Below threshold)

52. Posted by 914 | January 19, 2010 9:51 PM | Score: 3 (3 votes cast)

Speaking of Lurch, he just hobbled in on cruthches to Chokelys concession sob. What he do? Twist his ankle trying to pick an old lady's pocket?

Jac ass

Posted on January 19, 2010 21:51

Well.....I am impres... (Below threshold)

53. Posted by Gmac | January 19, 2010 10:07 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)

Gmac:

Well.....
I am impressed with this decisive victory.
Democrats everywhere are in fear of their political lives.

Oberlmensch is subdued, pronouncing it "Schadenfreude in its original intent." "A huge shock and upset to Democrats"...

Posted on January 19, 2010 22:07

I guess over in Massachuset... (Below threshold)

54. Posted by FTL-RCP | January 19, 2010 10:09 PM | Score: 2 (2 votes cast)

FTL-RCP:

I guess over in Massachusetts they're clinging to their guns and to their religion.

Posted on January 19, 2010 22:09

Martha (eh, Marcia... which... (Below threshold)

55. Posted by HughS | January 19, 2010 10:12 PM | Score: 3 (3 votes cast)

HughS:

Martha (eh, Marcia... which is it Patrick? ) Coakley notes that there will be many that are angry at the results tonight and she thanked the Kennedy family, her own campaign officials, her husband, other family members but ignores any mention of the Obama administration.

Can you hear the sounds of sheets tearing?

Posted on January 19, 2010 22:12

The Dem's are cracking alre... (Below threshold)

56. Posted by GarandFan | January 19, 2010 10:32 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)

The Dem's are cracking already:

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0110/On_to_Plan_C.html

Posted on January 19, 2010 22:32

How the hell does the Democ... (Below threshold)

57. Posted by James H | January 19, 2010 11:12 PM | Score: -2 (2 votes cast)

James H:

How the hell does the Democratic Party lose the Senate seat in one of the most liberal states in the country? This is like the Republicans losing South Carolina or Georgia.

Posted on January 19, 2010 23:12

I hope there's an ... (Below threshold)

58. Posted by Brett Buck | January 19, 2010 11:29 PM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)

Brett Buck:

I hope there's an anti-suicide watch on Congressional Democrats tonight.

Uh, why? I wouldn't want to interfere with their precious (and apparently constitutionally-mandated) "right to choose".

It has been a fantastic year - it took them just under a year to go from the highest of highs - to f*cking it up completely. No one could pry that morally-bankrupt sociopath Teddy out of his throne even during the high points of the Reagan Revolution. This is the situation for which the phrase "Epic fail' was coined.

I am a student of history, and I can't recall any similar precipitous plummet in political fortunes in the history of the world, must less America. The Nazis took about 6 years and millions of lives lost to get rid of, the commies took ~70 years and untold lives lost. We had one year of the democratic (little "d") process, and these idiots are effectively done.

This is one hell of a country!

Posted on January 19, 2010 23:29

I just reeeeeeaaaalllyyy ho... (Below threshold)

59. Posted by P. Bunyan | January 19, 2010 11:35 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)

I just reeeeeeaaaalllyyy hope Obama gets out there and campaigns for all the Democrats running this fall!

Posted on January 19, 2010 23:35

The polls are closed as of ... (Below threshold)

60. Posted by 914 | January 20, 2010 12:19 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)

The polls are closed as of 7 pm Eastern time!

Final Results

Martha Choakley (D) 33% 6713

Scott Brown (R)35% 7100

Joe Kennedy (L) 32% 6401

Nice try KOS idiots!

23. Posted by 914 | January 19, 2010 8:06 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes

Wizbang poll of likely winner in MA

Its official! Chokey lost! Congrats Joe! Very good showing!!

Posted on January 20, 2010 00:19

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