I am waiting for Rasmussen's new tracking poll results. They should have been released a few minutes ago, but are not yet posted. I'll post as soon as they are up. Drudge says Rasmussen shows Palin is more popular than Obama or McCain, but the poll results are not yet available to public.
Update: Real Clear Politics has the new Rasmussen numbers posted as Obama 48, McCain 46, but I am still not able to access the full results at Rasmussen. Probably too many people trying to access at once?
Update II: Results are finally posted. I'll post more after I have a chance to read.
Update III: From Rasmussen, Friday, Sept. 5:
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows the beginning of John McCain's convention bounce and the race is essentially back where it was before Barack Obama's bounce. Obama now attracts 46% of the vote while McCain earns 45%. When "leaners" are included, it's Obama 48%, McCain 46% (see recent daily results).Tracking Poll results are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. Virtually all of the interviews for today's update were completed before McCain's speech last night. Roughly two-thirds of the interviews were completed before Palin's speech on Wednesday night...
Both Obama and McCain are now viewed favorably by 57% of the nation's voters (see trends). However, Alaska Governor Sarah Palin is viewed favorably by 58%--a point more than either Presidential hopeful. Forty percent (40%) have a Very Favorable opinion of her.
Fifty-one percent (51%) of voters now believe that McCain made the right choice when he picked Palin to be his running mate while 32% disagree. By way of comparison, 47% said that Obama made the right choice by picking Delaware Senator Joe Biden as his running mate. Voters are evenly divided as to whether Palin or Obama has the better experience to be President.
Update IV: More good news for McCain. 500,000 more people saw his speech than Obama's.
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2008 Presidential Race
Comments (27)
No real surprise there. I ... (Below threshold)1. Posted by ExSubNuke | September 5, 2008 9:46 AM | Score: 2 (2 votes cast)
No real surprise there. I agree with what someone posted over in the caption contest (of all places). "What if McCain suddenly dies? Don't tease me like that."
1. Posted by ExSubNuke | September 5, 2008 9:46 AM |
Score: 2 (2 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 09:46
2. Posted by DJ Drummond | September 5, 2008 9:48 AM | Score: 3 (3 votes cast)
Right about now, Palin's bigger than Reagan!
2. Posted by DJ Drummond | September 5, 2008 9:48 AM |
Score: 3 (3 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 09:48
3. Posted by WildWillie | September 5, 2008 9:53 AM | Score: 7 (7 votes cast)
I agree with DJ. The liberals caused so much negative buzz about Palin that millions tuned in to see her speak. Instead of breaking under the pressure, she hit a grand slam. I bet the liberals wish they could take back the last week. They played it horribly. The caused a surge of support for Palin and by default McCain and people are finally looking at Obama's experience, or lack there of. ww
3. Posted by WildWillie | September 5, 2008 9:53 AM |
Score: 7 (7 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 09:53
4. Posted by engineer | September 5, 2008 9:54 AM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)
Real Clear has posted them at 48 - 46 Obama.
4. Posted by engineer | September 5, 2008 9:54 AM |
Score: 1 (1 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 09:54
5. Posted by engineer | September 5, 2008 9:59 AM | Score: 4 (4 votes cast)
To have dropped by 3 points in a three day rolling average, you either have to have a fantastic day roll off, or have a lousy day added on.
Let's see, Thursdays polling would be the first to include Palin's speech...
Nay, a fantastic day for Obama just rolled off is all.
5. Posted by engineer | September 5, 2008 9:59 AM |
Score: 4 (4 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 09:59
6. Posted by Lorie Byrd | September 5, 2008 10:01 AM | Score: 1 (1 votes cast)
Thanks for the update engineer. I had been checking every few minutes, but didn't see it 'til your comment. Still can't get through to the results page at Rasmussen.
6. Posted by Lorie Byrd | September 5, 2008 10:01 AM |
Score: 1 (1 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 10:01
7. Posted by engineer | September 5, 2008 10:11 AM | Score: 5 (5 votes cast)
To illustrate comment #5:
Lets look at two scenarios
Monday Tuesday Wednesday
+5 +5 +5
gives a Thursday report of +5
to get a Friday report of only +2, Thurday would have to be about -4 (+5+5-4 / 3)
Monday Tuesday Wednesday
+8 +5 +2
gives a Thursday report of +5
to get a Friday report of only +2, Thurday would have to be about -1 (+5+2-1 / 3)
Either way it's not a good sign for Obama. It's either a Fred/Palin two day bounce, or a devasting one day Palin Pounce.
7. Posted by engineer | September 5, 2008 10:11 AM |
Score: 5 (5 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 10:11
8. Posted by Lorie Byrd | September 5, 2008 10:15 AM | Score: 2 (2 votes cast)
Once those first two days (pre-Palin speech) roll off we should have a pretty good number unless something happens and we start tanking.
Thanks for the numbers analysis. I stink at math.
8. Posted by Lorie Byrd | September 5, 2008 10:15 AM |
Score: 2 (2 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 10:15
9. Posted by Adrian Brown | September 5, 2008 10:24 AM | Score: -12 (12 votes cast)
The National Enquirer Story is out there now.
Will it help or hurt McCain's poll numbers?
*cue scary music*
9. Posted by Adrian Brown | September 5, 2008 10:24 AM |
Score: -12 (12 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 10:24
10. Posted by Clay | September 5, 2008 10:37 AM | Score: 5 (5 votes cast)
The National Enquirer Story is out there now
Yeah? So's Bill Ayres and Jill Stanek.
10. Posted by Clay | September 5, 2008 10:37 AM |
Score: 5 (5 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 10:37
11. Posted by Falze | September 5, 2008 10:46 AM | Score: 7 (7 votes cast)
Voters are evenly divided as to whether Palin or Obama has the better experience to be President.
That's going to leave a mark all the way until November.
11. Posted by Falze | September 5, 2008 10:46 AM |
Score: 7 (7 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 10:46
12. Posted by _Mike_ | September 5, 2008 11:21 AM | Score: 6 (6 votes cast)
It's worth noting:
which means there's still a significant amount of lag in the data.
12. Posted by _Mike_ | September 5, 2008 11:21 AM |
Score: 6 (6 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 11:21
13. Posted by Tango | September 5, 2008 12:03 PM | Score: 3 (5 votes cast)
The Enguirer slop may still be out there but now SnoBama's "experience" is as well. Or rather lack thereof...as it were.
13. Posted by Tango | September 5, 2008 12:03 PM |
Score: 3 (5 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 12:03
14. Posted by Rolf | September 5, 2008 12:38 PM | Score: -8 (10 votes cast)
The Palination needs to remind voters of the Hooter's, and SuperWal-mart, secured for Bugtussle during the reign of Sarahmessiah.
Will the double-wide city hall become a shrine?
14. Posted by Rolf | September 5, 2008 12:38 PM |
Score: -8 (10 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 12:38
15. Posted by Clay | September 5, 2008 12:42 PM | Score: 5 (5 votes cast)
The Palination needs to remind voters of the Hooter's, and SuperWal-mart, secured for Bugtussle during the reign of Sarahmessiah.
A comment born of sheer panic. This is the best you idiots can do? No wonder your guys are in so much trouble.
Keep it up, though. I love where this is taking you.
15. Posted by Clay | September 5, 2008 12:42 PM |
Score: 5 (5 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 12:42
16. Posted by Clay | September 5, 2008 1:17 PM | Score: 3 (5 votes cast)
I love where it's already taken you.
Don't stop now, dummy. Let's hear some more deep stuff. You've got the floor.
16. Posted by Clay | September 5, 2008 1:17 PM |
Score: 3 (5 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 13:17
17. Posted by Rolf | September 5, 2008 1:29 PM | Score: -5 (7 votes cast)
Uh-oh. Todd Palin's former business partner has filed an emergency motion to seal his divorce records. Doesn't necessarily mean trouble. Still...
17. Posted by Rolf | September 5, 2008 1:29 PM |
Score: -5 (7 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 13:29
18. Posted by Clay | September 5, 2008 3:11 PM | Score: 4 (4 votes cast)
Yeah. And Khalid al-Mansour is becoming more interesting, too.
I wonder what Sarah will do with The National Enquirer when she takes ownership?
18. Posted by Clay | September 5, 2008 3:11 PM |
Score: 4 (4 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 15:11
19. Posted by cirby | September 5, 2008 3:26 PM | Score: 4 (4 votes cast)
Uh-oh. Todd Palin's former business partner has filed an emergency motion to seal his divorce records. Doesn't necessarily mean trouble. Still...
Yeah, who would ever want to keep his private life from being printed in newspapers and read on network news, so that someone can hint that his divorce might, maybe, possibly could involve Palin, even though it didn't?
For reference, see the whole last week of completely inept and obnoxious reporting.
19. Posted by cirby | September 5, 2008 3:26 PM |
Score: 4 (4 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 15:26
20. Posted by LaMedusa | September 5, 2008 3:41 PM | Score: 2 (4 votes cast)
No new material?
Why are you progessives so backward and trapped in the deep corners of nowhere? When did this information about Todd Palin's former business partner become a serious issue, along with anyone's business but his?
20. Posted by LaMedusa | September 5, 2008 3:41 PM |
Score: 2 (4 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 15:41
21. Posted by LaMedusa | September 5, 2008 3:45 PM | Score: 3 (5 votes cast)
No you didn't. You thought you were blending in with DU and Daily Kos comments, where they are used to your inane one-liners. I know you miss the air-headed applause.
21. Posted by LaMedusa | September 5, 2008 3:45 PM |
Score: 3 (5 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 15:45
22. Posted by michael | September 5, 2008 8:03 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Under what rock this this loser Rolf crawl out from?
22. Posted by michael | September 5, 2008 8:03 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 20:03
23. Posted by michael | September 5, 2008 8:03 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Under what rock did this loser Rolf crawl out from?
23. Posted by michael | September 5, 2008 8:03 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 20:03
24. Posted by Herman | September 5, 2008 10:29 PM | Score: -4 (4 votes cast)
"More good news for McCain. 500,000 more people saw his speech than Obama's." -- Ms. Byrd
Not really, given how poor it was.
24. Posted by Herman | September 5, 2008 10:29 PM |
Score: -4 (4 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 22:29
25. Posted by Rolf | September 5, 2008 11:10 PM | Score: -3 (3 votes cast)
She's the biggest celebrity in the world.
Sar-ah! Sar-ah!
A speech , an aclaim, a cult.
25. Posted by Rolf | September 5, 2008 11:10 PM |
Score: -3 (3 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 23:10
26. Posted by Rolf | September 5, 2008 11:17 PM | Score: -3 (3 votes cast)
Dear double-posting-michael--better English....
From under which rough rock does this loser Rolf crawl?
26. Posted by Rolf | September 5, 2008 11:17 PM |
Score: -3 (3 votes cast)
Posted on September 5, 2008 23:17
27. Posted by Clay | September 6, 2008 1:43 PM | Score: 3 (3 votes cast)
O-bah-mah! O-bah-mah!
A few speeches , an aclaim (sic), a cult.
You're right, it does sound silly without the accomplishments and experience.
27. Posted by Clay | September 6, 2008 1:43 PM |
Score: 3 (3 votes cast)
Posted on September 6, 2008 13:43